Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 1:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 1:30:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 1:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
59% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,972.61
Unexplained QUAI: 4,125.39
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
10,098.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10098 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 1:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net sender
Unknown type
5,971.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,971.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
10,098.01 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:30:21 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
5,971.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:31:21 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
47,168.74 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:28:21 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
16,846.66 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:27:21 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,518.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:33:21 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
5,972.08 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:26:21 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
29,534.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:34:21 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
17,615.89 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:23:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,971.61 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:30:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,971.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:30:50 A.M.
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003e00682e448898247f40acfefc834557a20a2d652516c26d361271cfd418ef
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:30:17 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0018002031b7fb58bc836b12243f2c5ef98444958d569092819af65b1f89d94b