Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 12:14:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,879.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
775.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 775 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,104.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,104.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
775.35 QUAI across 17 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
219.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
205.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
775.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:14:21 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
10,104.22 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:15:21 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
539.79 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:12:21 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:16:21 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
640.96 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:11:21 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
10,328.04 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:17:21 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2,523.65 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:10:21 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
58.44 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:18:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,104.22 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
10,104.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:41 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x006c007a0a127622392bc2587579070dbd8781fb57a79bad3ab24174f927c227
7.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x0056004fad9da3fdc71f50eeddceeaba7fefe46571fa3effc67149b132d15ccd
21.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x00100011da9ad7e009a680671ee0059370bb1cf32dc27aca91da46d512374029
5.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x00640023992cfc329d5b3d97fa6e672f74c1b9fac8e26319a7ccbf8eabb19254
21.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Tx: 0x0046001e88e10c74a5909d2d10bf55fb985c15d0ba6ed27f7da42ad0ecfdd349
5.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
Tx: 0x00250056cbceb562ec128c40bf5e2e359cc754000617f1b8a0cf9d1c6d48d0e6
8.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0040002183d22134b642cc9d91e6439f99b825539b93d6956e2e597aa2e9c6a6
9.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004A069DecAc6D920Bde33AD9DFD187126025B29
Tx: 0x0005006a96ffff916c993a5fe76e2e50a4fe1d38571104dd3a858913e6b5f80d
14.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037c62591E143Ca54F3B8BeDeB4bD5e22ddbD6d
Tx: 0x005e007d740c212bf3a9d29867b57b04500473ab8520d12c8f000e9c734db74d
8.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x007700695b20da9aa09011f380e3c5a8ead1589f9182dbac221c23cd88747b7e
10.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Tx: 0x007c000dff13d0533cd353b3c071ef70368e255896b01f9b3dbb392c911965ad
4.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x00640036e3b8028a051711f7b6f1f9fd23cf88fadef95d82b4279f202f08f3a3
23.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x003500583c847db9cb194f95333ba30d18460dd7528a54d69d3b813904146705
180.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x006400231a98142063500c2e0b31bf4de3000756a9d6975d9b13973695d7e8d9
8.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0058001a87626134b3d2f761cbf78a3f4cc64c54bd615924beb8761d7bed7f24
219.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x002100535be6680f307a856742f991c0dcc11ea18fe599e81a0de9d7bd34aea4
205.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00620007c96ed5e6cea2745208df266fb1f75054cd888ddeae8a847426048dc0
20.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x002c005b0d2cfd5845393a182fa21cfcd92489de32b807fddc413471951d9f65