Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 11:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 11:23:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 11:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49.5
Unexplained QUAI: 10,319.62
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
209x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
10,369.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00739ab5A7Dd3E9C326814aD606954EeB64480bF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10369 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00739ab5A7Dd3E9C326814aD606954EeB64480bF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 11:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
49.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00739ab5A7Dd3E9C326814aD606954EeB64480bF
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 49.5 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10,369.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:23:20 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
49.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:24:20 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
5,678 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:21:20 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
4,327.25 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:20:20 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
49.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:17:20 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
4.96 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:14:20 P.M.
+9 min
1 tx
10,368.88 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:32:20 P.M.
-10 min
Best candidate2 tx
14,380.59 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:13:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49.5 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:23:46 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00739ab5A7Dd3E9C326814aD606954EeB64480bF
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
49.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:23:46 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00739ab5A7Dd3E9C326814aD606954EeB64480bF
Tx: 0x000a001f859a4ff9162375433f9863206ad75676d4a1d7c581ad80256101c98e