Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 10:56:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 59,366.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
59,366.33 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,411.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E
Net sender
Unknown type
8,955.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 59,366.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
4 tx
59,366.33 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:57:20 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
95,695.55 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:53:20 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
6,500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
10,411.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:51:20 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
10,582.7 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:01:20 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
3,622.01 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:02:20 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
52.55 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:03:20 P.M.
-8 min
19 tx
13,049.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:48:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:56:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:56:50 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c003b8bcbe5aae47e6de406372a59aee0100b40afdb716931e9a7499f7b1c
19,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:56:50 P.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003001dde539ae16e9c6bef866dc5b01d7991d94f45d122df6aaeb3fe7a9638
10,411.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:56:50 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c005228b3521c8ba97db7912f3cde4c1ad363e2c2cb0ffe702412f79eba77
8,955.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:56:50 P.M.
From: 0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00020032afb1c28f7f3612def46400693242fdcf94e07c44d3401424d4f4066d