Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 10:52:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 95,695.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
6,500 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 6500 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
89,195.55 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007849682be647aE63Cb0BC0556B757eCbd5D259
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,865.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,728.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
6,500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
10,411.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:51:20 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
95,695.55 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:53:20 P.M.
-4 min
19 tx
13,049.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:48:20 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:47:20 P.M.
+5 min
4 tx
59,366.33 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:57:20 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:45:20 P.M.
-9 min
2 tx
2,699.12 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:43:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
6,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:50 P.M.
From: 0x004de771867bd9e2AA239a3CCb8D1E835C542F45
To: 0x001269dFce7243C62f4e258B423DbEBC19857c70
Tx: 0x00520078e689c27425b0f0d0226c1bd35a0249a9ad4d368fa3360c6c50eaa3d0
12,728.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833
Tx: 0x00680078a1ecc899f72104324befe8ed7e4d6a8bb69e227b5c8ae99ff2393ffb
16,865.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x007849682be647aE63Cb0BC0556B757eCbd5D259
Tx: 0x003b00179eb8bdb15eee41a3c7d2f64f9b9062129d97200545b8f5a89466c608
8,965.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E
Tx: 0x0005007f2350104fcb2c0d01cc06b14ba0e6d762e44c967fde88606d8a7fe6cb
10,636.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0073aEB87139519092e28FDE552c9E9f9aBCbbCF
Tx: 0x00200012f7e0113db66589adfbd0de8410870f008a0ba05e368ee472fbd71736
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Tx: 0x0022003944e7cac0ec4d30b464d8acf589ca66ddecdeb3a77c7d49090784d9af
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:52:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Tx: 0x0044005d36bdca5f49ce5391cf3efdd1d8b4bbc4720c42e7773b9b83fe607671