Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 10:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 10:37:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 10:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 10:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.83 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
7.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
5.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
1.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
3 tx
14.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:38:20 P.M.
+3 min
51 tx
33,765.23 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:40:21 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
49.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:32:20 P.M.
+6 min
2 tx
2,699.12 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:43:20 P.M.
+8 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:45:20 P.M.
+10 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:47:20 P.M.
+11 min
19 tx
13,049.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:48:20 P.M.
-12 min
Best candidate1 tx
133,239.85 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 10:25:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7.43 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:37:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
7.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:37:23 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0021007fdb5a4852eb5cfb5deb1c94a844d10664c88e755b0bad6e2d151ce222
1.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:37:23 P.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0078006c59bf22c0b44f80d8d8552750071f24723aa4a6a4a5c164b86891206f
5.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 10:37:23 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0037005a5bc60481ae1e68511df0b9fe7638ea3f28653e7704abf2a3bceb457b