Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 9:17:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 339.31
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
339.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 339 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
339.31 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
128.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
109.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
102.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 339.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
339.31 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:17:19 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3,524.89 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:19:19 P.M.
-3 min
34 tx
1,601.84 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:14:19 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
716.65 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:12:20 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
10,574.43 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:23:19 P.M.
+9 min
1 tx
2,269.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:26:19 P.M.
-10 min
1 tx
143.99 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:07:19 P.M.
+10 min
Best candidate3 tx
18,305.02 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:27:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
128.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 9:17:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
102.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 9:17:01 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006400204e09d6b8a779a95a60987a6ccfb240139be871a163f23084164f4c28
128.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 9:17:01 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0040f933729b6602f53f82cd37da5129d02346ba17c1295fd7206a9ae1f1
109.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 9:17:01 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002900409d45e7b380013d7df7a17299fec54b2d2f2a2cb19cf97658f6539e15
