Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 8:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 8:15:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 8:16:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,498.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
10
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
1,884.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1884 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 8:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
15,998.83 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
15,563.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
499.6 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
438.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
111.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 15,998.83 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,884.46 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:15:19 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
16,498.43 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:16:19 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
16.67 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:17:19 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
16,296.68 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:12:19 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
10,314.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:22:18 P.M.
-9 min
Best candidate1 tx
18,117.44 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:06:18 P.M.
+9 min
4 tx
428.33 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:24:18 P.M.
+12 min
1 tx
9,998.42 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:27:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,563.12 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
6.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Tx: 0x0064005fd9031d9c768e3599a5fbffe84bb93a443bab3113a39fe2f1317afa39
438.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0002001b2e0ab4f9db17b7acfda953eea397c5c4b42cb034c448382ace2ce515
10.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x006e001101a3e0d7bc0da2de83a2627e880ad50b7f76f26a0ce621ced111da62
6.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00621591f70f69FD565Aa938f36Bf4b99bcAeA6F
Tx: 0x000e0042054d2903c9c55afa31594a3e1cc185d915f7f41bafcf1cd8ff2727e4
36.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x00240048f305e9d1fccd1259371b45776a78efbd8d9f99b9f9f8dce7aa470c84
15,563.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025004374e413b6e32b150399f1f73f6fea75e56169216cfc0d53a50db5dd88
111.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020000c2f4fa34de5fe97c7713ad624fa064341784f47e93388c0ddbd8c0cb3
111.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005700726b8b5e1509dbe7439aee0e995fd8fcbfc5c9184539e9ae3ae85d2bae
106.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x001FA07362D4A8E7dffc1Ac993aEA59Bfc5e4699
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510071f9fad49ac628c3f9c1998e9f557188d889d87ccd2c192a7de8ba70b8
105.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065006516134f5bc1747d7aae03ca245f83248a3ffc628cb0400a8f7c9bf8c0