Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 8:01:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 8:02:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,263.68
Unexplained QUAI: 7,853
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
2.7x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
28,116.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 28117 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
10,264.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,264.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,999 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
28,116.68 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:01:18 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
10,264.68 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:02:18 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
18,117.44 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:06:18 P.M.
-8 min
2 tx
107.42 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 7:53:18 P.M.
-11 min
1 tx
266.74 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 7:50:18 P.M.
+11 min
51 tx
16,296.68 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:12:19 P.M.
+14 min
50 tx
1,884.46 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:15:19 P.M.
+15 min
10 tx
16,498.43 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:16:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,264.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:01:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,264.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:01:48 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00070042ab79165dc335603545f58a1794a3885814fbb19f3a6207bf2f655e81
9,999 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:01:14 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x003300107a2896a91d20e3fc71bbb86a51eaf771deefe3fc671a21aef030897b