Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 6:23:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,692.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,492.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,492.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net sender
Unknown type
3,199.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,199.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
13,692.07 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:24:17 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:21:17 P.M.
+2 min
23 tx
15,505.54 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:25:18 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
19,363.23 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:26:17 P.M.
+4 min
14 tx
9,003.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:27:18 P.M.
-6 min
18 tx
5,142.15 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:17:18 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
10,700 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:29:17 P.M.
-8 min
50 tx
3,089.33 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:15:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,492.27 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:23:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,492.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0017006038fdddc2bf6616289d47e43a746e3e0b329d838823bfc0bf7f3c8858
3,199.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0018003a6a25b5c88ede8107b3fc6d4685ecfb5ae478998e5189d3730842671e