Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 6:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,142.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
5,142.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5142 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,791.27 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,200.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,350.88 QUAI across 15 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
545.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
511.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 590.98 QUAI
From exchange: 3,200.29 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
18 tx
5,142.15 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:17:18 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
3,089.33 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:15:18 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
762.49 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:13:18 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:21:17 P.M.
+7 min
2 tx
13,692.07 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:24:17 P.M.
-8 min
9 tx
3,984.63 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:08:57 P.M.
+8 min
Best candidate23 tx
15,505.54 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:25:18 P.M.
-9 min
2 tx
10,106.8 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:07:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,200.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
3,200.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:08 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x00210017f7d439511f21020da0f51abfa3e97e6a539b2040db25494599131ab2
103.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:08 P.M.
From: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007200778077b2b3448e088786cf87b93e1427d9a0e2ed78b82f96a29a857edd
487 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:08 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c005f82ebfcd95952d2023a2ea39b3980320c04b8b340bb747844eb06f4b9
6.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x004a001c0d8df933a3a5e7b2e4b8704089fdf6eeddb6e128fb1871429f57ac72
9.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
Tx: 0x005d00318472e2bb9d71e27e4e84a93878976c28bb7a1cdd2c4bf4ac781db71b
7.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00621591f70f69FD565Aa938f36Bf4b99bcAeA6F
Tx: 0x005b003ef5a92dfd34f6ebdeac1398bbd943e028b2ae0fa3bd71e594ea51238c
5.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x00630023c2913c8aeb5c9d4e1908edeab1c58444bddb36e20bbf5f697e9876b3
6.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x001d0069ba50c82a9ab4b010fe3e1cf79fe8017c0aacc7bd9eed21d12cca1289
7.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Tx: 0x0062003de37ff6a5490031c2b598f34e642ff017025c2c5ec4cda9499864954f
57.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x007000693a37a448149a67768744b170909d4a82da13995d69e2eb05c8d335da
5.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x002b005dc5a70ae76cc7800b09be2a38de11a623da0104a563fb4a08c9d8be76
545.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0058007a94d6d674eac8bbb437fcb506a248ddb5d54e4db85f626633df7c3e8c
62.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x00780029af66aad1643d4bf30395a5e832459e61b70bcf3224ba293b6dbb497c
54.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0038003f4df75e1a744449166af56330990f6fef5194256832c9c9a70d972bf3
6.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00701e44c9BEF03226Db261993BF5ec23CF96E5e
Tx: 0x006d0053e32c3ca3c5b5e8df4daf397201f8044165914ba51662b1546014402b
511.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004d0064c97c1f681ebade27593804a6ef7cae3a39fb91c2dcb579265348c98c
57.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x004c0045df696e7f82940034295c2615c07b0eeb0d21f99a7c3db3dd3a76bfe4
6.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x0035003d505600f7d3aa8ce1da6c03ee7af09b867b3ddadf5d6577bb3695bae0