Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 6:08:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,984.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
3,984.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3985 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,974.3 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
2,530.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Net sender
Unknown type
585.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071c9bf8e3775F5ac9afA35F391b2878A55c809
Net sender
Unknown type
165.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
Net sender
Unknown type
160.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,974.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
10,106.8 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:07:56 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
10,804.17 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:06:56 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,984.63 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:08:57 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate20 tx
43,725.63 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:05:57 P.M.
+5 min
50 tx
762.49 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:13:18 P.M.
+7 min
50 tx
3,089.33 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:15:18 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
10,084.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 5:58:56 P.M.
+9 min
18 tx
5,142.15 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 6:17:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,530.49 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
10.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x00530017584b4b6ade8591297ef9bb5686a88fbd520e2b8a07a2b189799d8f57
110.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x002d105d7A2aA4809b815643e5ac4c5f2A9bB3d7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006400551273306f5cc6f92c069682d6c81388e5d837429cb8da85c796aaf7c7
2,530.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270007e80a755f836cb3ead3e3e401343c6e4839d31d6eeca41bfa05cef6a4
585.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000086b2a12091c5f88e8d09d01c7c144832207e8dcaf0d838d715878ebcb
156.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002200182244ae8128e03d6c3947474d3c151d29b0ac0a8cbed6fd3ab3da3850
160.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d004194e34c24bb413136d772396c7d6819f874ed5eea19f8ccee38686a92
165.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x0071c9bf8e3775F5ac9afA35F391b2878A55c809
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510013708ee145f71834c9ba0136111f2ac9d454b8925a20ca1d74be22f538
107.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055004c654bd04cb90c80dc2202be64b3c0bc709d9e9eae1226103ae0fd642c
158.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 6:08:03 P.M.
From: 0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e00771f95a5ed50d121f420ac96a55090c89bb0a19540e5eaa5e995b089de