Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,786.1
Unexplained QUAI: 7,315.93
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
13
72.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
14,102.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 14102 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,786.1 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
616.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Net sender
Unknown type
589.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net sender
Unknown type
588.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
Net sender
Unknown type
558.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,786.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
18 tx
14,102.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:24:08 P.M.
-1 min
16 tx
22,948.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:23:08 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
5,580.4 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:25:08 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate14 tx
185,730.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:22:08 P.M.
+2 min
25 tx
9,060.6 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:26:08 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
487.78 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:21:08 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
10,277.37 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:27:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
99.73 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:20:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
616.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
497.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020006a85a0e2e63cb5194f0c8b4376760477e8816a4500bc3317bed1d02c0f
450.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0075abdde6d5cf076fbee204f2f9a6273d098d7e3318612165a66f848981
515.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x007D29857dAbAfab10536BEEc85E23ebdbf38BDA
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034006376521ce7482b521cfeaffd618672b101a2ab5ca4e0c735807ffff69f
454.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a0001d3475fb16a99ff6d922faeb83f38e948e63e44bbc92add2bc33539e2
531.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060004d2b7d1829bbdafdda2e5f476a1f4f488ffa017fa275be57cca782def9
437.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c001046c203c8c21368f34dc04c82595d0375c0df2d74de78d4067ca7d990
528.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076005b70e01b41b10a204f312556d2f5648bc1e2d8388ef9fb7b89e9838a89
462.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0055e0094278A60FA16aC1d2a47D1689Ac40DeFa
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0016921764f11a128540be6e9b0e0e258f1a3e2c19a8153ee68787acda54
588.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:14 P.M.
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046001589e2235bd948bc16a6bbfb17e6cc072a60dbee7e9e9cac4cf816f795
556.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:14 P.M.
From: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450053fd9bb1693328f7ae1489afc0aa6e049a7b994cac6bf5c7a53fbf83e3
558.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:14 P.M.
From: 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d005a0905d438938e93d42bf89dbda34b78e5100718d5fa10618d1525e6f7
616.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:01 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350003f46c402273c4ea168cf2e44286cde0c4ea2bc6324d21a1dfc0ec5a81
589.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:24:01 P.M.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c00782cb77681496df89705ad1a0608eece302f2bcf55f75d334c8cf25604