Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:16:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 356.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
356.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
Net sender
Unknown type
123.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
117.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
115.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 356.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
3 tx
356.8 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:17:08 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
9.25 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:18:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
9,999.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:12:08 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
99.73 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:20:08 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
487.78 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:21:08 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate14 tx
185,730.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:22:08 P.M.
+7 min
16 tx
22,948.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:23:08 P.M.
-8 min
4 tx
32,056.95 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:08:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
123.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:16:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
117.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:16:57 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00398e93c395dae173a4b051e12961de6db55778b313a95397b57923d1d9
115.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:16:57 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0011b4c9c6a4a2b9975d9fb07ad3d3f3315100918d564df942c7897015fb
123.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:16:57 P.M.
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0012bbac35a40f994f92e91d4c4defd95efde8bda45ec5e4d467c3e40475