Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:07:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 42,058.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
29x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
10,001.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
32,056.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
18,192.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net sender
Unknown type
9,998.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,998.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00123AEC9BFe31EeE5585D572F4808E716e01448
Net sender
Unknown type
8,386.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 32,056.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
10,001.06 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:07:08 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
346.42 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:06:08 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
32,056.95 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:08:08 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
50,879.9 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:05:08 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
61,766.26 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:04:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
4,784.74 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:03:08 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
32,921.93 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:02:08 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
9,999.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:12:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
18,192.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3,832.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:48 P.M.
From: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067000ac3b05cd3d203731ea5b27cf2c267fc40d50f36ead4cf56f97daea852
18,192.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:48 P.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000700635d4a954c4abb793c54e3cc2727120d844538343f2a1528065205fa26
8,386.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:48 P.M.
From: 0x00123AEC9BFe31EeE5585D572F4808E716e01448
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026004511e710834ad55b20c106f3d86c26ea5e1ab4b3bce4e5a59c68156bba
1,645.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:48 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018007e232362a0eadde5e71b87ab8252f01f1b638ff0b1139babb8e35aafb7
2.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x001800636af37c71783d5eafa99c779a2ef4a83b9c01c194c4ac2fc117223ce6
9,998.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001500729751da1698c17c07cd667ebaa8f58a28b7bcbc699dc4eebc198c6e44