Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:05:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 346.42
Unexplained QUAI: 50,533.48
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
147x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
50,879.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 50880 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
346.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net sender
Unknown type
246.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007Fdc366EAB70b1e16E36bE4f3bC5B9BDc25857
Net sender
Unknown type
99.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
50,879.9 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:05:08 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
61,766.26 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:04:08 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
346.42 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:06:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
4,784.74 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:03:08 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
10,001.06 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:07:08 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
32,921.93 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:02:08 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
32,056.95 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:08:08 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,745.44 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:01:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
246.96 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:05:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
246.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:05:48 P.M.
From: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003a00479cb625a8836a839f096d023b67c8f1d407e24aefb422e7177445c68e
99.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:05:14 P.M.
From: 0x007Fdc366EAB70b1e16E36bE4f3bC5B9BDc25857
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x004e00691c387202ee68e84b9303baad38c1104d55c347056141a1b126913487