Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:04:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
82% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,879.9
Unexplained QUAI: 10,886.36
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
13x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
61,766.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 61766 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
44,020.21 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Net sender
Unknown type
28,566.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net sender
Unknown type
9,457.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
6,859.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,859.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
61,766.26 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:04:08 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4,784.74 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:03:08 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
50,879.9 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:05:08 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
32,921.93 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:02:08 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
346.42 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:06:08 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,745.44 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:01:08 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
10,001.06 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:07:08 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
162,856.21 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:00:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
28,566.89 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:04:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
6,859.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:04:47 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Tx: 0x004d00065368c5c88264abb3fd2e8655beddd47bf9ce91a6f7d8f73b5ffd3614
5,995.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:04:47 P.M.
From: 0x004510C8CF3817943A84CA80EDD30fED7a565A0a
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00040078f2727b7f080a1cbaaa7c5b1c599909ec441e1151a3b599ec49a1dd18
28,566.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:04:47 P.M.
From: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0020001c14231e290246553eeb818a78c6843bdf5eb120f4e514012e742e2e4c
9,457.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:04:47 P.M.
From: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006a004bff6dbc608405f57b4f38c4a9fda58392c89d6b29bbf2ca632732b85d
