Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:59:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 162,856.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
33,213.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 33213 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
154,459.85 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net sender
Unknown type
98,707.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
28,567.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Net sender
Unknown type
10,200.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,458.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 110,438.05 QUAI
From exchange: 52,418.16 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
33,213.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:59:08 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
78,121.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:58:08 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
162,856.21 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:00:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
4,785.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:57:08 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,745.44 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:01:08 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
127,549.56 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:56:08 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
32,921.93 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:02:08 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
178,999.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:55:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
98,707.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1,530.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:56 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00600062a1496732c9adbf7a9c2bd52783e0daefea9efe0da2aa5b6ff285592b
98,707.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:56 P.M.
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f005856085e9ea5ee5c5f4c7f2ed6cd7e6dd37a3daf9ba429c4b4828306b5
10,200.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:56 P.M.
From: 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0028ef379bc35ff8c81bfa35d9d4ea713ecd4fdfc67b3273edf439dcc20a
8,396.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:56 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00123AEC9BFe31EeE5585D572F4808E716e01448
Tx: 0x001b00020c14da81810bb2e277b42f50774f6401d9fac459bb48b5f0f4dfc7fe
5,996.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:10 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004510C8CF3817943A84CA80EDD30fED7a565A0a
Tx: 0x00410011b50b60fabfcad36ef91a935e378dfbc099b874f293914a8edbac19a6
9,458.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:10 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x000d001c9a978549ad4769fddaaf00de74a643332cedbe7f841933a14004e190
28,567.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:59:10 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Tx: 0x002300081659582f8e77363c688f5cf0c59bb8fb4f50edded8131396e540329b