Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:58:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 94,980
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
16x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
78,121.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 78122 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
61,766.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
61,766.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005cf3286C5f9d3F4fe145FC58980f83159616C5
Net sender
Unknown type
21,880.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,880.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
11,333.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 61,766.79 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
78,121.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:58:08 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4,785.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:57:08 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
33,213.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:59:08 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
127,549.56 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:56:08 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
162,856.21 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:00:08 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
178,999.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:55:08 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,745.44 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:01:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
21,880.54 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:54:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
61,766.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:58:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
11,333.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:58:33 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Tx: 0x0015001f29d1c3f8302d354ac999ecf7a261ae400f92935a0ef4d90f16f9e312
21,880.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:58:33 P.M.
From: 0x005cf3286C5f9d3F4fe145FC58980f83159616C5
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x007b006a5fe8a7171b230ca22b34c8aaeed1b48df88e52aafc31e6c6b31cae4e
61,766.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:58:05 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x0056000e86ea186bc0ffd288147c71a2b9e53980f291518c172e6bea05108981