Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:57:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,354.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
4,785.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4785 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
10,200.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,200.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dB8A5C22074283eA5bf7aB7333EfA4D001359
Net sender
Unknown type
6,154.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,154.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 10,200.64 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4,785.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:57:08 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
127,549.56 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:56:08 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
78,121.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:58:08 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
178,999.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:55:08 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
33,213.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:59:08 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
21,880.54 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:54:08 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
162,856.21 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:00:08 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
16,024.12 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:53:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,200.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:57:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6,154.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:57:38 P.M.
From: 0x005dB8A5C22074283eA5bf7aB7333EfA4D001359
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000a00714f2ca0b72cde150623a48f04e51c7021540c692b51cd0b0bc5018b5e
10,200.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:57:10 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Tx: 0x0013005d3b44e854d9cda522fd5737f150fe6f011099e3fe79afa3ac8df451e7