Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:37:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,055.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
23,034.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,034.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,021.5 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net sender
Unknown type
9,998.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
Net sender
Unknown type
6.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 23,034.28 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
6 tx
33,055.78 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:38:08 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3,866.76 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:39:08 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5,382.54 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:34:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
4,112.02 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:33:08 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
5,015.53 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:41:08 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
13,360.8 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:42:08 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate2 tx
47,762.49 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:43:08 P.M.
+10 min
3 tx
23,353.2 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:47:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,034.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
23,034.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x006a0051ee886db857dbc8c6337c41a0041953960257eaa48e6574cf7a0c5b84
4.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0016005a7046c76596c96c4b83bb4cfa66b16ee47a89d4e1cc9c930f82de12cf
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00620027de38eb0f71f3b613a4daab883fd4d6224d30c0e38cf06886b113d88d
5.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00270059db5f81c43efd6e24dbb0e73e67110e9f06143a1ef4a5ebec99e88bd3
6.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e004a9527de0b3a2b5769038cac08c0fcb06bb7a1a6cdf15e838d80f1c577
9,998.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00300055f73bee9e1ef3cba7a315589b003ba63e73dbf3892d6448c46b80bdb5