Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:13:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 673.57
Unexplained QUAI: 2.88
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
14
28.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
676.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 676 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
567.71 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
201.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
157.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
105.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0064c629990f6219038b5d3107784c01C614D328
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
676.44 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:13:08 P.M.
+1 min
14 tx
673.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:14:08 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
4,183.79 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:11:08 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3,340.93 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:15:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:09:08 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,002.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:08:08 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
10,007.67 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:18:08 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate2 tx
11,583.81 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:19:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
201.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
5.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00484ee28BC12A97625AC7327e0C8e00641660c4
Tx: 0x00470022f26dd79573cda3a9bc23fb52e0b7850da939055acc35f1c5e50016c7
5.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Tx: 0x0058007653c25c8e74e9c83ae28543d9ad987a1ea371bacc57bb4f3718609cf8
11.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
Tx: 0x000b0016dc019eb4855fe049441154afbaece62c18a6595ba115241fe26e9d78
104.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Tx: 0x0062001de2b8baef7d422111468861eef0fb99292d17d26726aeac86a231f79f
157.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00070038406a76ac744e6e5ec56e76266b518c6c8e78259b260e10cd454a4cd4
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x007000249ef5f0a67008cc2946bab0767fff8e5e68c304b014937926411386db
20.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x006e001ea4b82fb15bea73226f437f302062e6c0bd7d417919b908986de28428
20.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x0079000ca357f5fbcbf71490df2374e7af10ae8bb1eef666c5a712edf5ffff50
4.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
Tx: 0x0021000f1ca9b267222dd57b490a665a9871511ee2bbf0a4fb4b1aa1bef6a0eb
201.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x002e0059510553af3f8a1e52e4204f23b96ffad09ed1d418092ec59fc8ba35f8
5.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x00020012e013c7cff3c96cb2cfbe094a5d22ac68964b90b5af9204a105a01547
5.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00701e44c9BEF03226Db261993BF5ec23CF96E5e
Tx: 0x007700433a32eda4fca2736d6a152d349e42093db07f804ec7b40ca1582e9205
20.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x00060057cacc8024ad08cd61ae79d87a827b645202d12897fd9a6e4e01c37b94
105.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:13:09 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0064c629990f6219038b5d3107784c01C614D328
Tx: 0x0071004f93ea4e2892703b4ca79fcfeed7c8dc9d6f80e01dfec735c0395ae35a
