Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:05:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,108.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,941.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,584.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
Net sender
Unknown type
1,167 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,167 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
357.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,941.99 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
3 tx
3,108.99 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:06:08 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,002.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:08:08 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,783.8 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:01:08 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:09:08 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
357.89 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:00:08 P.M.
+6 min
2 tx
4,183.79 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:11:08 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
9,999.18 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:58:08 P.M.
+8 min
50 tx
676.44 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:13:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,584.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:05:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,167 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
To: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Tx: 0x006e003fd2a4730c31a0de116410291ca6b77751b5d2a3031f380623b9bb1d3f
1,584.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:05:15 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0043e19bced8ee44c0ca19e7af87f6de4c1caf6375a6e65d809a66d580b9
357.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:05:15 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005300083a4a902ee655eb7ba49adc4eac72259e7b3b56052d3e1d3ee530abd3