Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 1:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 1:04:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,460.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
2,435.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2435 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 1:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,447.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,447.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
3,013.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,013.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 5,447.38 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,435.02 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:04:07 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
8,460.61 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:05:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
24,386.24 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:02:07 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
24,385.7 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:07:07 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
37,159.65 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:59:07 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
12,433.65 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:09:07 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
5,446.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:10:07 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
2,468.97 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:11:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,447.38 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:04:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,447.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:04:20 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Tx: 0x00210063e2b64da1772fec579757882818f997b56717cbfee8114ad877e7a9b1
3,013.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:04:20 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x0048000a68d174f22d26585fc7915335f4146f27c58d57511e7b4ccd00716a6f