Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 12:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 12:40:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 12:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,153.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 12:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
12,153.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,153.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 12,153.66 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
1 tx
12,153.66 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:41:07 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
19,782.28 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:38:07 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
29,996 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:42:07 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,288.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:35:07 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate2 tx
50,685.53 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:46:07 P.M.
-7 min
4 tx
46,219.35 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:33:07 P.M.
+8 min
1 tx
14,466.04 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:48:08 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
10,740.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:31:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,153.66 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:40:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
12,153.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:40:39 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x002500301a5bee46bcc356aed2c87742d225f0a46e1a601f7f732b1b459f5f7e