Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 12:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 12:32:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 12:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,219.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
MEXC hot wallet -> 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 12:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
44,920.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
41,081.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,839.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
Net sender
Unknown type
1,298.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,298.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
MEXC hot wallet → 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
2 repeated flows • 41,081.71 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 44,920.74 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
10,740.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:31:07 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
46,219.35 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:33:07 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,288.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:35:07 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate13 tx
275,720.22 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:27:07 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:26:07 P.M.
+6 min
7 tx
19,782.28 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:38:07 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
715 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:24:07 P.M.
-9 min
2 tx
7,214.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:23:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
25,164.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:32:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
25,164.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:32:28 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x00600024f26d875a3d93df2c6143c3f7d1173d69c2d030635930f957636c03b3
15,917.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:32:23 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x0049006872592ae9af587b45035f884fdfcf1de24c297987780b7d8c5f306145
3,839.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:32:23 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Tx: 0x006100050b5e3a2be4546a66ec11575e90deda456f43f158f52ee694f323465d
1,298.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:32:23 P.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x00190007d41568cba8a40a970bab68d677196a5dd069f5c62fbcf4ad7bb858c2