Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 12:21:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,194.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
4,736.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4737 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
26,041.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,984.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
13,621.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,621.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,057.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 26,041.84 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
4,736.84 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:21:07 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
22,272.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:20:07 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
40,194.51 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:22:07 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
81,335.54 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:19:07 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
7,214.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:23:07 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
204,645.33 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:18:07 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
715 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:24:07 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
12,626.36 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:17:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,984.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:21:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
13,621.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:21:40 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Tx: 0x0007002c1a3133f88cb0febd0c0bfa6e95feb8a58900e3738cf154146d81242a
531 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:21:40 P.M.
From: 0x005EAf3705c3b970e8275e027Ea343856a562C73
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a0065d2d9f81ca8289ea928542af72e8ba964e95b0b6c2d580c84151b3ac4
11,057.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:21:40 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Tx: 0x0023006a1d20452cad0f7852a44dde68e03aa76947dc5fa4adebf203811b78dc
14,984.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:21:40 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Tx: 0x003c0054b45c801b8c85d3bf362f90315eab78084c3947d8c9113aa7f02e105b