Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 12:18:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 12:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
42% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 86,153.65
Unexplained QUAI: 118,491.68
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
16x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
204,645.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 204645 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c.
Gate.io hot wallet -> 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
62,777.13 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Net receiver
Unknown type
47,794.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
15,099.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,099.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003134790C1Febe0a357945dCc3add8Ee6A4D797
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,982.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
Gate.io hot wallet → 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
3 repeated flows • 47,794.57 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 62,777.13 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate7 tx
204,645.33 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:18:07 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
12,626.36 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:17:07 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
81,335.54 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:19:07 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
13,646.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:16:07 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
22,272.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:20:07 P.M.
-3 min
26 tx
26,978.79 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:15:08 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
4,736.84 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:21:07 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
40,194.51 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:22:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,834.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3,046.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:40 P.M.
From: 0x005EAf3705c3b970e8275e027Ea343856a562C73
To: 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
Tx: 0x000700605b51d7f4055454f992f1876fda36aa49b7ea375afcf05724286408ac
14,982.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:40 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003134790C1Febe0a357945dCc3add8Ee6A4D797
Tx: 0x005c00322029460c5799e356dfe78578404b61a96c17e7b4967ce1823db00bba
19,834.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:40 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Tx: 0x001400793124b1485614af2343a54caa3036377492a2b44d5545c4d5acbcec18
5,230 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0012fb08D24Be68c8EcdAd727333e4CB8A18f529
Tx: 0x0015001fab2f127081346472c8e4a73280ca74a9f6ad9a7687830e8d58bd171c
14,451.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Tx: 0x00480021c6831989010af2466374879d035e13aa135720c4b6a6eb88efd95835
13,509.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Tx: 0x007e001fdab904b4d581db2d27e7ee6527e2871524df18c20816948303700cb7
15,099.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:18:06 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Tx: 0x0049003bf966baaa8dc1feee868bf4e9e8184c3f399f4c7a5a8f0a613e8ebe0b