Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 12:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 12:14:00 P.M. to 07/16/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 26,978.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
26
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 26 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 12:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 26 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
16,857.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,857.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00165991c8c04777f999513cB9CD4355070f47bb
Net sender
Unknown type
4,223.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,223.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
4,210.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 16,857.06 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
52 tx
72,106.88 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:13:08 P.M.
+1 min
26 tx
26,978.79 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:15:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
3,902.79 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:12:07 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
13,646.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:16:07 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
6.41 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:11:07 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
12,626.36 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:17:07 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
13,646.67 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:10:07 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
204,645.33 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:18:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
16,857.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
All transfers in this selected minute
26 transactions
947.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x001Ef88d9BD1f67c160C9e5e26793036322247c6
To: 0x005E31fC3d41eEACDe8567Af8AD6a705d9144989
Tx: 0x002d0076636b694fe246e9f2faf87a37886f335b9b2b07a5c117ac6443bb40fa
6.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
Tx: 0x005100582c0615b705b3253bb5d7cb628c0dc1ff3709da887fcd8faa22a53aaa
5.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Tx: 0x004c002b915b1136ea2dd8493efff6ff7cf36dfb24432af2634613988703a5e0
5.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002a43e2b8943747641943b5BCB2bd5bBFCD422D
Tx: 0x001b003ce2e8be8bb9bfdecb23180d5fa038682e14d4f1da1a7cfd07d546c376
7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x0057003a2e1020e6e7897246d845dba50aaabdfb144aceeed4315e6b6dc14692
5.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x001400791ab2ccd23f48ffa07ddee18d7854d7312e3b03a25915a235507f9531
6.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Tx: 0x006c002e5c9d9ba27c47f70d95643d390821a1fc177d6c379414e51aa3ea6a04
6.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006745Db42371c7dBCab3dEAf37839b33dFf3FE7
Tx: 0x001a003e0f5cde13a4276adbdd242bb0429c9bad9e3b9e7ac1e73c8dba1b9d81
8.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Tx: 0x007900216f96aaf69cac789ed74a41dee8a0fa5e6addd8bedf3e7a3e8e09eedc
7.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Tx: 0x006e00051e3ba736bbbadb1de66b03a9d6d6908f351b32a599515ad47af81f09
16.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x002e005695a2fc7bc1cec5fc972f4974c3a56799360971c3d74c48211dddfc45
8.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x003b0032cc61dbaabf1b44c0af33ee764fb759fb0dcda8b0c17c67211ca941d1
180.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x003d003b0338b41cdedd8ded369626f3ebfaa8d0fc45a8f61c651fc2df9956b5
5.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002903dF619f76DF8f0c21B0EBC73725D0555C11
Tx: 0x005a0043f678dc68622151f4537a8b3823fac43a91f8df3bcd62363493d1d1ea
8.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x003f002300a2dfb3326950c5c783a67bfc82efe891006e735d0e6ec6d965af49
5.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x001d00273ccee881c3f456d0cc6f57a8791bd3872bfed3a1eed75c69a7964a81
160.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0025001995d289074e72877bf158d433098fd4c625ff1ec13a7409d7a1f351d2
24.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x006f001b4b1f1d00d38328f9a6107cb3ec02f8a219f52ffc047ca0b38dce444c
5.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0032006a3b4ee1fb861a76cfe05b684b306beca4f42792e8f93dad0b70882c77
21.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x007d0032a64a35ab7f363de11c4be026dee4759ef2b177b69ed50b0f7a93c192
204.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000a0047e82862c2ba500f18533aec7f49eb85d46bac1855a12da450a51d305f
16.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x007f002c5b4dbd86b787c0c8d739aa50c4ed6a9a7c7c5de855e6a6516d2f387e
21.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x005a002d2f42e0be5571bef16a5f3a55dd07383ece75687425195c3ca3a506a2
4,210.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x003f003320c1b0e567dfad1177f165e47ae0acf2b4b07ac9d0cf8a25e88b2b5e
16,857.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:53 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Tx: 0x000a004cf6fe062a9c3d9f1e39ef49aebab6c4f2afef08730aca49b17139cee3
4,223.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 12:14:11 P.M.
From: 0x00165991c8c04777f999513cB9CD4355070f47bb
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x006b002dc5c68ed026a2bc99234dab5200b59b2ebe7aa9d20d79c7e2716946b1