Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 11:59:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
60% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,653.99
Unexplained QUAI: 11,672.43
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
29,326.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 29326 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (40% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
17,653.99 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net sender
Unknown type
12,084.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,107.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
2,462.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 17,653.99 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
29,326.42 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:59:07 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
17,726.46 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:00:07 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
361.61 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:02:07 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2,462.76 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:55:07 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:03:07 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
29,327.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:54:07 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
2,027.1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 12:04:07 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
12,084.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:52:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,084.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:59:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,107.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:59:48 A.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009004b5b05744759239bdfd2e326ed6c1758315bf8d5a4b6ba1e20bfc58719
12,084.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:59:48 A.M.
From: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0030002fd81b1db3431dc156d1fa5ba9fe51c7c2776be0e72b563b11c0c1e223
2,462.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:59:48 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005500794bb051071b94d07ea64eaad5fc17e9ec164464836d89f16703b4c5c9