Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 11:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 11:49:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 11:50:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 105.41
Unexplained QUAI: 4,803.31
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
4,908.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4909 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 11:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
105.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
4,908.72 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:49:07 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,550.15 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:47:07 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
4,595.19 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:51:07 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
12,084.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:52:07 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
120 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:45:07 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
80 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:44:07 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate2 tx
29,327.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:54:07 A.M.
-6 min
4 tx
14,355.74 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:43:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.41 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:49:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
105.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:49:04 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Tx: 0x0059003993bbf08b7c1b819c8e0b70614aaa7b649c4019610ca67ce04e339730
