Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 11:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 11:19:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 11:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 200
Unexplained QUAI: 16,713.81
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
85x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
16,913.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 16914 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 11:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
16,913.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:19:07 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:20:07 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
36,756.93 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:21:07 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
29.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:16:07 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10,588.98 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:22:07 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate8 tx
160,989.29 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:15:07 A.M.
-5 min
15 tx
20,528.22 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:14:07 A.M.
+5 min
4 tx
21,540.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 11:24:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:19:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 11:19:57 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007900064d878f097958713280fef022af424d16144e9331dfcde92130c5b5a8