Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 9:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 9:26:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 9:27:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,532.95
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
1,532.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1533 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 9:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
1,532.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,532.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,532.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:26:06 A.M.
-9 min
2 tx
106.75 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:17:06 A.M.
-12 min
18 tx
989.11 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:14:07 A.M.
+12 min
Best candidate4 tx
45,855.93 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:38:07 A.M.
-14 min
50 tx
739.81 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 9:12:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,532.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 9:26:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
1,532.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 9:26:03 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
Tx: 0x00600068b0c5da8d2fc1b26acd8e06820c6d0a498617347d9c4c29d9d84d0515