Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 8:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 8:23:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 8:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,445.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 8:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,525.29 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,233.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
3,920 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0075e6982d5eAdfb064ad5e087597711Aae238eF
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,920 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004B33b64770C05dd7Dd850e4d8a9Ca0C22C28F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,874.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,525.29 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
18,445.29 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:24:06 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
10,477.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:21:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
3,875 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:20:06 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:26:06 A.M.
-6 min
1 tx
105 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:17:06 A.M.
-8 min
7 tx
4,310.94 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:15:06 A.M.
-9 min
18 tx
1,106.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:14:07 A.M.
-11 min
50 tx
1,623.39 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:12:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,233.34 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:23:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
243.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:23:18 A.M.
From: 0x0051EAbC7875A0fa4c8e9d5B544DE8501B8bd0d8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300558567abe5c1be35f09c14d479e1f1aeca2bcdf720518e94b59618cf38
3,874.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:23:18 A.M.
From: 0x0004B33b64770C05dd7Dd850e4d8a9Ca0C22C28F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f0046a6663c8b29455432935fbfa51d30183899c2ff41c38872576196b3ff
173.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:23:18 A.M.
From: 0x003e420Ff197ce7D46ee5B4065b83b27250d82fB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b006d17243278e5e5d101f682b0baaed25cfbf48fe044012c7790ffdfdd9b
10,233.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:23:18 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0061d76a3d9a4ffd5c6bfc4a83851b5224e15a07b70e40691b71960fb8e5
3,920 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:23:18 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0069B6456Ca9cC5cD1Db65712Efdd98b51D647F1
Miner wallet
To: 0x0075e6982d5eAdfb064ad5e087597711Aae238eF
Tx: 0x0042003201da877734e18207db077f9b189d99bc4a42e99c3c6ba8013e048fb4