Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 8:05:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 8:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
39% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 973.83
Unexplained QUAI: 1,546.38
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
2,520.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2520 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
973.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net sender
Unknown type
797.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Net sender
Unknown type
176.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 973.83 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,520.21 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:05:06 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
191,767.18 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:04:06 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
973.83 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:06:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
797.74 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:03:06 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
2,607.61 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:07:06 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:09:06 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
790 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 8:10:06 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
17,265.52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 7:58:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
797.36 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:05:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
176.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:05:40 A.M.
From: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c00640f0acb908a00a07fae19fe8805b770a6dbf718c0375f010117369431
797.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 8:05:40 A.M.
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005300775133aa71b8b5175c2b3236a4c1e59cc83f46e7a8da95034743bcf4e4