Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 4:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 4:57:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 4:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4.51
Unexplained QUAI: 10,137.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
2249x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
10,141.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10142 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 4:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
4.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10,141.86 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:57:05 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
4.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:58:05 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
3.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:52:05 A.M.
-9 min
7 tx
2,318.26 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:48:05 A.M.
+11 min
2 tx
553.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 5:08:05 A.M.
-12 min
Best candidate1 tx
10,248.99 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:45:05 A.M.
+12 min
1 tx
549.09 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 5:09:05 A.M.
+14 min
1 tx
2,029.4 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 5:11:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4.51 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:57:24 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
4.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:57:24 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0036000816a80885d63b83d1837387e954c25212ae65dbbf03c25b8fc0c304e2
