Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 4:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 4:17:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,105.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
4.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003aF2f52f8F0A59eBd85bD1700F5e82D7223e46 • 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003aF2f52f8F0A59eBd85bD1700F5e82D7223e46 • 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 4:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003aF2f52f8F0A59eBd85bD1700F5e82D7223e46
Net sender
Unknown type
1,837.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,837.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,268.05 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
406.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
Net sender
Unknown type
199.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,268.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4.33 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:17:05 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,105.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:18:05 A.M.
-3 min
42 tx
2,416.84 QUAI • 45 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:14:06 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
118.33 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:13:05 A.M.
-5 min
43 tx
409.98 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:12:06 A.M.
-8 min
Best candidate3 tx
11,764.04 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:09:05 A.M.
+8 min
1 tx
1,317.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:25:05 A.M.
+10 min
1 tx
1,317.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:27:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,837.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003aF2f52f8F0A59eBd85bD1700F5e82D7223e46
To: 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,837.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x003aF2f52f8F0A59eBd85bD1700F5e82D7223e46
To: 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
Tx: 0x002d006b6cac8f5ed87ede4edf6d20f1fd5939a743c9033e0e2491d2e6594e36
106.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000329242b0d10553491c75955a2bfbb1a1e782e0f51225d179b43d073c58
102.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b00416dd65a6db528524c459bc57cfae3b62690656f86e2a68518ba1eda44
104.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005800384cff2f68211025f96df4eb2657cfb040317df13f1ff83b40acebfab4
140.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x006C0c76f7F34E731301008e46DaA85B461EB2de
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c00323cca1c6d1476e5f0ce6f2a53910afcc01d54c7193aa6a6581ead5e17
108.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b003639eefa1b21e4722f2efd06a7ea1acb3c3c3db372df1bab6e47f7e08c
101.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0005dc4ddc9af22b43049f94a4b86e8ad64ed04d70f873ad25c34c5e79d7
406.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056006317cb771284cf586fb0b8c98f07c974d277b6c7f369d2c1a75e924127
199.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058003a4edc215b39667d1b0bfdd03e30e626059f527f13ab43503e8a7bab7c