Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 4:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 4:12:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 4:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 118.33
Unexplained QUAI: 291.65
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
3.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
43
Observable rows
7
16.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
409.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 410 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 4:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
118.33 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Net receiver
Unknown type
23.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
43 tx
409.98 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:12:06 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
118.33 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:13:05 A.M.
+2 min
42 tx
2,416.84 QUAI • 45 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:14:06 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
11,764.04 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:09:05 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
4.33 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:17:05 A.M.
+6 min
9 tx
3,105.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:18:05 A.M.
-9 min
1 tx
285 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:03:05 A.M.
-11 min
1 tx
11,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 4:01:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
55.41 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
6.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
Tx: 0x00520046d3df14cf8357ad203f3e7d9a21ffca789b66c28701a150fa8e55b209
9.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x0020006b6f9f572711febb5510aeac32596643bf3aae731658abb15395d61a7b
4.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002A53297455ecB6a41311C7d4cfB53deee57fE6
Tx: 0x000a001b9acbd497cc56db7b87836886d2ada632715e1c65314667916a7d45ec
12.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Tx: 0x007900056bbcd907bb632bd92ca8cce255d9078af01f5b678dc2b830926f0bd0
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000BfEC899D392975cAc517fd5Ef1849aEb2703A
Tx: 0x000b00546bda319961b3bb24059e1b361fa1c9b92e0a2492b23758069f022b96
55.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Tx: 0x000a00112a8210f9548d682daccdb871e6a7ffbf7fcd2fa8928df6cc7e981144
23.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 4:12:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Tx: 0x00220049a73227719f0fc5284c8dcc5a816b79b76455fc47c36a8f7a5fc2ed60