Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:46:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Net sender
Unknown type
3.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
2 repeated flows • 3.99 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:46:05 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
3,481.87 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:45:05 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1.99 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:47:05 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3,308.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:42:05 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
3,303.78 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:51:05 A.M.
-8 min
4 tx
29.4 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:38:05 A.M.
-9 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:37:05 A.M.
-12 min
1 tx
3,308.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:34:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:46:01 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:46:57 A.M.
From: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001c000df724c6edf340edde52ddb9d74d961c7c27d779a5d47853ac800c4494
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:46:01 A.M.
From: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a000b4e00197313348adb6764996f85cf88db294f88aff9941ce0cc8c0027