Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
5% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,029.22
Unexplained QUAI: 19,354.35
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
42x previous minute
20x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
20,383.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 20384 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
828.46 QUAI across 16 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
235.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
200.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
183.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
171.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 200.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
20,383.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:14:04 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
483.53 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:13:05 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
1,029.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:15:05 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
10,010.07 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:18:04 A.M.
-6 min
Best candidate4 tx
21,352.6 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:08:04 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
4.11 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:07:04 A.M.
+7 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:21:05 A.M.
-10 min
1 tx
10.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:04:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
235.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
100.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:44 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062001d12cc628e2609fd4ee8343c737e3367b56cd6de7601d5f95b501309f4
99.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:44 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013004e252ec137fb2ab338616ff100cec0b7954b4146a1e41c529dea868ba5
46.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x000c0020788dbf61444f8cacf3e08e185e7ffd5304369cd7df1c37fb049d980a
7.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006C92D8155d8496ddD64595824c74Cc885AD031
Tx: 0x007b000a0b9a9f2dd71f2a1ed73461a1c5cc5930de2fb956989a35160d47a588
4.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000a223e74Bcd7059A53b02Fa13EDAdF34549310
Tx: 0x000400539b6c2be69ed2b9c28c02b930f4cbdea3085db35e292e9e2a0851f0ed
43.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
Tx: 0x002a004c81b2f503bdb3ac2fca1cb7fb3477ec687c5eba5a810b5d6b9518dbd4
19.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0016000bf8ee159ce484634fb292e3b5ee229ee2dc44f8b596ad0ea9c8f4b632
183.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x007f00758d71f6d39cbc802dbf46414a04897e2b11b3f65c9d0d339f214662f7
6.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007927F508440032Db37A5f7c1e653d9917B429B
Tx: 0x004300454f1f5a6b62546882ebb7ad6fc2b6d368c8f197420a3b48b13a01d5cf
5.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0025007e55b367ce9eac683ca1ea4b2fc0d71c227764a01a55d89d1a7c275b99
171.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0044000f0785c1ffa72fed0fd10e8f0a2c8311625a0c8df60bde234d2c7e7bcf
15.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x00140039308be2bb974084020666e7336f726a35740978b4421069007da1ba4d
5.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x0074007224dc4063c3e4aaa903bb2fa1b2936c006dfb0dd227484e57fdd9ea0c
40.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004e365b06Ee8579ECacF4F01eA7ae0EB6576D3A
Tx: 0x00760008ecf845135d115d47ca7a0fd1afe0bb950d8cc12921af7bfe93d10b34
8.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Tx: 0x001a00018ed8e550ebb2ed251707b8b0aa4a89c8521706dfd449c51612927f27
235.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0065002b7c87785fb0e13fff75564db8f0615368c6790c377eccad121e1e0970
15.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x006100286f39003769d66f5cec9b93c6e12c2474b71c82ae43bed287091ad66f
19.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:14:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0008002e62607bd5ea1bd8bd77b133babdda4e253fb1bd3577d9875d72edfc15