Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 3:07:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 3:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,352.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
4.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 4 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
20,384.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,384.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
968.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Net sender
Unknown type
649.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
Net sender
Unknown type
271.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 20,384.41 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4.11 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:07:04 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
21,352.6 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:08:04 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:04:05 A.M.
+6 min
50 tx
483.53 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:13:05 A.M.
+7 min
1 tx
20,383.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:14:04 A.M.
+8 min
18 tx
1,029.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/16/2026, 3:15:05 A.M.
-9 min
12 tx
7,038.07 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:58:05 A.M.
-11 min
Best candidate3 tx
41,207.58 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:56:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,384.41 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
46.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:33 A.M.
From: 0x0076Da9a6886F157F0DaB2132a5A617f666665DD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b0049bae750bd1f03108364d1e37be3d9432196adaf6bfc2474a9ee5c3488
271.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:19 A.M.
From: 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000800617ee0e73ce3434d395f5e19596f342e2a5c383fc0e68856703abbba0f
649.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:19 A.M.
From: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b003adb4f6d4a5cfd23d7da877e217478514bf2ee7d43100496517e94235b
20,384.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 3:07:17 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x005d004652d04c2cf6bb5b94c20c9e973184793b87b9a936ca6b60fef5f5e876