Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:32:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,002.38
Unexplained QUAI: 3,265.42
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
2
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
4,267.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4268 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
844.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Net receiver
Unknown type
844.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
158.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004A8D7b3349bf6b2ccf0cE2324A0f9CD6EeCcF1
Net receiver
Unknown type
158.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
4,267.8 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:32:04 A.M.
-1 min
20 tx
8,675.38 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:31:05 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,896.24 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:33:04 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate25 tx
38,310.16 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:30:05 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
9,221.72 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:34:04 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
16,304.18 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:29:04 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
20,937.89 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:35:04 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
6,914.58 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:28:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
844.05 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:32:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
844.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:32:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x0066005c0a56e68b8872da9c3ba2860f619915ccd9cc715d22e2b22042226117
158.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:32:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004A8D7b3349bf6b2ccf0cE2324A0f9CD6EeCcF1
Tx: 0x00330037c92a44b8029ad946bbe85fc6d523ed3f49fbea73c95397a5d8ffd8e8