Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,367.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
16
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
2,158.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2158 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,068.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,068.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,130.36 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,111.34 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,319.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
2,158.12 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:23:04 A.M.
-1 min
18 tx
16,185.63 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:22:04 A.M.
+1 min
19 tx
18,975 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:24:04 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate40 tx
44,658.69 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:21:05 A.M.
+2 min
14 tx
19,016.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:25:04 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
7,351.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:20:04 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
18,736.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:26:04 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
7,144.44 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:19:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,068.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
2,185.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Tx: 0x00680055f9277e75030b5536a540521f35d9a743a1d6e8ed97d66447c5f96485
66.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x0020003c454e07294e0856daaf14974896aaa02907e72b3422a301f94f799aa3
67.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00768F00f2e743590e4bA20C5D2fbB568e60c77C
Tx: 0x004c00124da0427218b40261ea57d2c1a5d1f8096dbdabc989807576a69928a3
10,068.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x000b006304809a40ebb75202119837c196db4f931e21ddcd5922625900139ff2
490.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x004a00377f16a3504b2cd0a3dd50903df6b900691fa8b3dbee2a13b578957ae4
287.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:51 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007660347A0fC5A9E1bd5f7ec58D4B6344eEcE5b
Tx: 0x00730014473f740d19e81731fc130fb120eeb58b2ed854ab8918b2ec853f2d2b
136.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x00370002364e68d3299c7bcaaf58832cd7a7b5a6ee5bf372309d56b60e66450f
2,319.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:40 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Tx: 0x003c00087d6bccfdfc26e30dd87d64ae38586bd67ad2dfc5cff2d42dac64e73b
1,045.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003Cd2247e4a9cd90973f0b85A1396979F965372
Tx: 0x0060004acd83dd4c41ff4890ddd181063540993a8f98b1b1b4beedef37d3c568
235.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x006600789ea0ae07dba37b53451529304fad6b684ce2bec0b214a37ace4df9b5
260.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x0063007d934f69638f469fa96098ae3e17c397e5612a53db80a6205f4693b57c
54.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Tx: 0x0003004a2af58a209a01a70e16a7cf8564189756890efd61a57d5f1ea4ae16c4
421.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93
Tx: 0x000500504fb3d2eabf026d7e9ada1ea398660f71984be5b0a813d824ce9ad725
193.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x00110040bfabf1f5d774f2248119735ec5845780e31fac822b76bb4359d644d1
381.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:10 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x006b0016274a549dd8bf6f596ddb9e8829ecd68864ffe8f3816fcda52fb725d7
151.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:23:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
Tx: 0x0043000f6ae4b84f8a9b62808d89635c43965c35f399591b9c3fc1dc3ac3f76c
