Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,240.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
4,444.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4445 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
9,797.84 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,496.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,596.78 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
845.79 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Net receiver
Unknown type
786.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
4,444.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:17:04 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
2,268.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:16:04 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
13,006.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:18:04 A.M.
-2 min
27 tx
20,224.91 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:15:05 A.M.
+2 min
21 tx
7,144.44 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:19:04 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate42 tx
20,845.26 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:14:05 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
7,351.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:20:04 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,246.78 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:13:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,496.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
575.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x0014002d64dd330cc18b16e9811e5de56445c2a41dac5fa1b8ddd9b3fdb0f4ee
97.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002039698813B45D9EF052686407d4AcdB346a38
Tx: 0x0048001ec3b6f9f8f4b8d7cb3c1509c8b34edc539f496a850e6bd0f2220e0304
51.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0040EDcF696F9e0248b62444343dd1C872e151f1
Tx: 0x005f00391c8b068d4911cd4956196a71ef5d4d777c0529b04b1a884fb69adcb1
153.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:51 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x0033005732cdbf1ac9b0b6ed05344741b4df6d0d4da2bca34fb8eadf51d42b15
589.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0032000172393fce398eed3688822228c492b01e58bac0f644d2782c700e9fc4
368.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x006a0076d52786190833e6c3d09aac0275aee4a15517e6f466f6ae91660cd8fe
7,496.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x0059003acc60816c375f5277a6f24dc46cf05a21c584e0867db95eb7a5258793
464.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x003e00372e63483763c4a3bfdedf9e96b1bdc4dcd19bc2bf8a7352b662fa6125
266.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003bA9cC15706b5b85A1490B44bCCdd94b6e1CF7
Tx: 0x0015001fce91857a50a14b543631ced11e5bbcc7fc8dc27a25d1470db6bd19c4
207.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:35 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x002f0036ad845dde8c70337d29a402461a47620c406ff389e086f36f83914461
109.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A570Ade45E3Fc1bdE376D88614526c181Ab7c
Tx: 0x0022005716cb395493bdf030a70a4d00faa5310b78b0db9f99b3afce2b84eaf6
569.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Tx: 0x0022001d85af498832c8589305a4285cd4e529d20e12cf93ebce50c37195912a
336.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x0058004443e5acda2c01da22adbad1b856ad341b95897e0f30c0d77710573196
786.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Tx: 0x004c001debcbc10d98ac839ea357e3a2b9923f4e8e65bcd6ef687856ea0fb3fd
167.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x005700169b132b519abce9d0ed9716304af3f17f307e7a36ea08adb92eb60ce1
