Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,503.8
Unexplained QUAI: 16,721.1
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
8.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
27
Observable rows
11
40.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
20,224.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 20225 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,848.08 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,250.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,079.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
691.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net receiver
Unknown type
528.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
27 tx
20,224.91 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:15:05 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate42 tx
20,845.26 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:14:05 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
2,268.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:16:04 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,246.78 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:13:04 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
4,444.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:17:04 A.M.
-3 min
64 tx
16,383.84 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:12:05 A.M.
+3 min
18 tx
13,006.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:18:04 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,108.67 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/16/2026, 2:11:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,038.7 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
117.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017438536777eC422ebc63AB1d7095B2e53E140
Tx: 0x00650049c8a0f10a44776e9b8dd9671c522f9e757de210808ddcafb44ee891c4
128.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002B30267ea7f4085a9a7Cf5b0696B662b4d7db1
Tx: 0x007a002ee908863387a304358f666d591ffacd07399774ed2a89ec96b1016b41
339.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x0067004cf73acf189be2a14dde14c33cc1f9d89a40c08f26744c356773093805
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007e0047d4a9830bbe088cf7c0b63b484eb3046b69b67de8e0118bab155d8c73
63.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
Tx: 0x0032002814d095546df7412dcfa5dddbbb3ef8092bc56b32940fab5469b29b7b
528.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x0022001def51652583585bd3b82e2870396883d4b55f0462776bf05112faffe5
1,038.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x0069003b59532cc645b921776311a824198f9812066f83adae60a8a12ad5ad98
51.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:24 A.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003b00207f20cd1d7d2bdada7d7c2121afb3d8c38a033cb560df97a141fe9c80
691.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x00290022f658ceaf206c5852c0fb77f5986c1afa8a0cd16a19513d00e6933511
331.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x006b00455e07f630e355f2ea9c9acbdccfcade3ec721921b04343563c59dcc36
211.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x00090050b0fdea52b1f478e2ac151cf93f4a9fea2caf28bc5ce9dd3d1a361d25
