Spike bucket
07/16/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/16/2026, 1:17:00 A.M. to 07/16/2026, 1:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 318.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/16/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
310.89 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
Net sender
Unknown type
109.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
101.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
100.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 310.89 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
5 tx
318.08 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:18:03 A.M.
-3 min
28 tx
1,010.56 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:14:04 A.M.
-5 min
51 tx
431.3 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:12:04 A.M.
+9 min
Best candidate1 tx
10,068.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:26:03 A.M.
+11 min
1 tx
3.18 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:28:03 A.M.
-12 min
1 tx
174.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:05:03 A.M.
+15 min
1 tx
198 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/16/2026, 1:32:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
109.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:17:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
3.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:17:31 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006a00584d87da6919b9a5f985cbdad7e15a45324648eed0aa671d6b103458dd
100.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:17:14 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00120075bb6b8dd8dc3168b599829b2e3f680b1697b42a9bb7dc117cc87f767b
101.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:17:14 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c003935a74fd6ab9cc1edf305915ddf65fc0082416ad80275bb43205e3f78
109.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:17:14 A.M.
From: 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900067e18de076cfc735f1a5ef0fda70b2dcb07bf6af74d2ad44d94b38cbc
3.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/16/2026, 1:17:14 A.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003f002b9fc7c4efe6f9463c1b00173b5ee295b1794fd02056d9493c51f67a57