Spike bucket
07/15/2026, 11:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/15/2026, 11:17:00 P.M. to 07/15/2026, 11:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/15/2026, 11:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.64 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
4.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
Net sender
Unknown type
3.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
Net sender
Unknown type
3.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
1.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
4 tx
12.64 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:18:02 P.M.
-3 min
22 tx
3,064.62 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:14:03 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
255.33 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:21:02 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
529.44 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:12:03 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
3.73 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
-9 min
5 tx
2,233.76 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:08:02 P.M.
-11 min
Best candidate1 tx
10,003.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 11:06:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4.1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 11:17:26 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 11:17:26 P.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c0051eab2fada633f55afebea79b6cee976adf5c23dda4c54b9464ed6c19c
4.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 11:17:26 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d0004e41e8ebfbb32734354bcf79717ad0a3dff7300346e552f30ef7956cc
1.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 11:17:26 P.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00150070dd1ccc6a3aa1fada89d9b8e02d6cc9191174bf0ac78b1a17cdf5d185
3.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 11:17:20 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f0019b27c6ecb4e273a3c85641537cb0e03cfd6c73f77f37b2a8c9105a9f7