Spike bucket
07/15/2026, 9:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/15/2026, 9:27:00 P.M. to 07/15/2026, 9:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
6.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/15/2026, 9:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
18.45 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
Net sender
Unknown type
7.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
6.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
6.41 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:27:21 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
12.04 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:28:21 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
9,999.01 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:32:21 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
4.13 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:18:21 P.M.
+11 min
1 tx
5.18 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:38:21 P.M.
-12 min
1 tx
103.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:15:21 P.M.
-13 min
23 tx
869.97 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:14:21 P.M.
-15 min
50 tx
481.52 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/15/2026, 9:12:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7.75 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 9:27:40 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
7.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 9:27:40 P.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0023000f072fafd809c820842c62680b055da76ee8a54d99148ef4dcac9e515b
4.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 9:27:40 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e00690f30e7037d8062e6b9968f4f19b7a8b8e0eee1152c8b990ba0895640
6.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 9:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007100046a862ae69332ed0565ec69620fc9cd60c716bc468d375f4725e1df56