Spike bucket
07/15/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/15/2026, 7:17:00 P.M. to 07/15/2026, 7:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 338.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
338.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 339 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/15/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
333.78 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
Net sender
Unknown type
125.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
106.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Net sender
Unknown type
102.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00497AD4cD26d1CAa0F71B6e3f5E6fFFD858881c
Net sender
Unknown type
4.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 333.78 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
503.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:15:55 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
338.7 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:17:55 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
11,300.59 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:18:55 P.M.
-3 min
24 tx
964.9 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:13:55 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
603.05 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:12:55 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
4.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:08:55 P.M.
+10 min
1 tx
63.73 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:26:55 P.M.
-11 min
1 tx
808.02 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 7:05:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
125.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 7:17:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 7:17:48 P.M.
From: 0x00497AD4cD26d1CAa0F71B6e3f5E6fFFD858881c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00020066bd4dca55e217ebf7fd83ad7361a9972e9219634510d0942c1bc6ddc7
125.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 7:17:48 P.M.
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031007a254b7deb119661c5505246af6def4b19d6d8dc858c5a2939b6e16d33
106.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 7:17:48 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001004dc3a531edcba58395fddfcc3181d177f3fe0ac9b747a827f49ed35b14
102.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 7:17:48 P.M.
From: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002400668d758b25dc52cf6ed68df3e55bd974d6a0e85890b13643f955b8f1cc