Spike bucket
07/15/2026, 5:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/15/2026, 5:49:00 P.M. to 07/15/2026, 5:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 • 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 • 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/15/2026, 5:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
4.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
521.16 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:48:30 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
4.01 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:50:30 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:51:30 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
206.63 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:42:30 P.M.
-8 min
Best candidate1 tx
9,999.21 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:40:30 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
1,634.66 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:39:30 P.M.
+9 min
1 tx
9,998.24 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:57:30 P.M.
-11 min
6 tx
1,656.96 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/15/2026, 5:37:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1.34 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 5:49:50 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 5:49:50 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5
Tx: 0x00600051e10ba606a6aef47780d4a2bd14cb694dc2aa7acfa5a423d883a12650
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 5:49:50 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007d003c16138f43292f5a6faaa168469d294a679d01388ee9aed553edc1e9b4
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 5:49:50 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0019CB299772399aF5f2D16D99E8a21ea5aC75F5
Tx: 0x0049003d77b59a352f2c1f8373667dc9b81b2bd40f233f4f19a434d12b327fa9
